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+0.18 America vs. Singapore: You can't save your way out of economic shocks (www.governance.fyi)
311 points by guardianbob 5 days ago | 470 comments on HN | Mild positive Editorial · vv3.4 · 2026-02-24
Article Heatmap
Preamble: +0.21 — Preamble P Article 1: +0.11 — Freedom, Equality, Brotherhood 1 Article 2: +0.07 — Non-Discrimination 2 Article 3: +0.21 — Life, Liberty, Security 3 Article 4: ND — No Slavery Article 4: No Data — No Slavery 4 Article 5: ND — No Torture Article 5: No Data — No Torture 5 Article 6: ND — Legal Personhood Article 6: No Data — Legal Personhood 6 Article 7: +0.05 — Equality Before Law 7 Article 8: ND — Right to Remedy Article 8: No Data — Right to Remedy 8 Article 9: ND — No Arbitrary Detention Article 9: No Data — No Arbitrary Detention 9 Article 10: ND — Fair Hearing Article 10: No Data — Fair Hearing 10 Article 11: ND — Presumption of Innocence Article 11: No Data — Presumption of Innocence 11 Article 12: -0.03 — Privacy 12 Article 13: +0.19 — Freedom of Movement 13 Article 14: ND — Asylum Article 14: No Data — Asylum 14 Article 15: +0.17 — Nationality 15 Article 16: ND — Marriage & Family Article 16: No Data — Marriage & Family 16 Article 17: +0.15 — Property 17 Article 18: ND — Freedom of Thought Article 18: No Data — Freedom of Thought 18 Article 19: +0.27 — Freedom of Expression 19 Article 20: +0.20 — Assembly & Association 20 Article 21: +0.16 — Political Participation 21 Article 22: +0.23 — Social Security 22 Article 23: +0.26 — Work & Equal Pay 23 Article 24: +0.17 — Rest & Leisure 24 Article 25: +0.24 — Standard of Living 25 Article 26: +0.13 — Education 26 Article 27: +0.15 — Cultural Participation 27 Article 28: +0.19 — Social & International Order 28 Article 29: +0.12 — Duties to Community 29 Article 30: +0.08 — No Destruction of Rights 30
Negative Neutral Positive No Data
Aggregates
Weighted Mean +0.18 Unweighted Mean +0.16
Max +0.27 Article 19 Min -0.03 Article 12
Signal 21 No Data 10
Confidence 38% Volatility 0.07 (Low)
Negative 1 Channels E: 0.6 S: 0.4
SETL +0.11 Editorial-dominant
Evidence: High: 4 Medium: 11 Low: 6 No Data: 10
Theme Radar
Foundation Security Legal Privacy & Movement Personal Expression Economic & Social Cultural Order & Duties Foundation: 0.13 (3 articles) Security: 0.21 (1 articles) Legal: 0.05 (1 articles) Privacy & Movement: 0.11 (3 articles) Personal: 0.15 (1 articles) Expression: 0.21 (3 articles) Economic & Social: 0.23 (4 articles) Cultural: 0.14 (2 articles) Order & Duties: 0.13 (3 articles)
Domain Context Profile
Element Modifier Affects Note
Privacy
No privacy policy or terms accessible from provided content; substack-hosted publication
Terms of Service
No ToS reviewed; inherited from Substack platform
Accessibility
Standard web accessibility features present; no barriers detected in navigation
Mission +0.05
Article 3 Article 20 Article 23
Mission statement emphasizes 'blending best solutions' and spans policy domains including market policy, government ops, urbanism, family policy. Tone suggests pragmatic institutional analysis rather than rights advocacy, but does not actively contradict human rights frameworks.
Editorial Code
No explicit editorial code accessible; Substack-hosted independent newsletter
Ownership
Independent publication by Dave Deek; no corporate ownership detected
Access Model +0.08
Article 19 Preamble
Content marked 'isAccessibleForFree: true' - open access to all readers supports information freedom
Ad/Tracking -0.05
Article 12
Substack platform uses standard analytics/tracking; modest privacy intrusion but standard for publishing platforms
HN Discussion 17 top-level comments
rayiner 2026-02-19 15:06 UTC link
A confounding factor here is that savings behavior is cultural rooted: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6135367/. Studies show that people within a country can have substantially different savings behaviors, robustly correlated with their origin countries, even among people who are third generation immigrants. It’s a mistake to treat either the U.S. or Singapore as homogenous populations for purposes of this analysis.
mothballed 2026-02-19 15:30 UTC link
Singapore has a regressive shock absorber model where something like half the country are immigrants that are ineligible for, say, public housing which even the better off citizens take advantage of in Singapore (maybe even disproportionately so since there can be a long wait to get in, you are older and more settled at that point). Immigrants that get milked dry and go broke and jobless during a shock are booted from the country before they can be polled.

------ re: below due to throttling -------------

Vs say US, where immigrants and those funding public housing are generally better off than the people getting subsidized housing. Public housing is more a progressive than regressive tax in the US, so quite dissimilar. Immigrants in US are on average far better off than those on public housing. Asking "but how is this any different" (after I already answered it, lol) over and over doesn't negate this, nor the fact that immigrants are like half of workers in Singapore vs only 10% in the US so the funding dynamic and dependency is far different.

Aperocky 2026-02-19 15:32 UTC link
This article seem to be confounding external impact with internal motivation.

Yes the jobloss impact caused the people to be unable to save and in turn they wished they have saved more.. but ignored is whether they could to begin with.

Of course external impact had little to do with internal procrastination.

hnthrow0287345 2026-02-19 15:36 UTC link
>They’re failing to save because the world is rough, and their institutions don’t do enough to help them weather it.

Well, America is rough. It turned on hardcore capitalism mode for itself because a significant portion of its population wants to try and solo socioeconomic hardships and hates any one who doesn't want the same challenge.

But not to just blame the voter, lots of money is spent for setting up systems to be amenable to acquiring more money. The very richest have correctly made a bet that uprisings to displace the wealthy and politicians just don't occur here these days, and therefore there is no real threat or need to change the way things have been going for the last 25 years or so.

InkCanon 2026-02-19 15:46 UTC link
Singapore's economic policies are complicated and often misdirecting. I'll break down the misconceptions.

The primary purpose of CPF is not a pension scheme. It is structured as a massive forced bond purchase scheme by citizens. Financially what happens is the 37% of citizen income buys a long term bond (till retirement age, on average decades) at rock bottom interest rates (it's pegged to the overnight rate or a minimum of 2.6%). The returns are specifically decoupled from the real long term returns. This has historical roots in the government needing vast capital financing. They make enormous amounts of the delta between the short term interest rate and long term capital gains. Singapore has no oil or natural resources, but it's sovereign wealth fund has AUM in the regions of countries like Norway which do for this reason. It is not a shock absorber like the article suggests. The withdrawal terms are strict - housing, a significant medical expense and retirement are the only real ways to get money out of it.

"Trying to keep people employed" is a goal, not a policy. In fact the Singapore government maintains a large worker supply through immigration. The foreign worker population, ~30%. The main goal of the government is to maximize the absolute number of people working.

The reason it raising the retirement age is effective in workforce participation is because most people have no choice. Retirement only pays out after the age. The working life of an average Singaporean has seen 37% gone to CPF, maybe another 10% to income taxes, another 5% to GST, road tax, property tax, etc. After all this there's the astronomical cost of living. This is also intentional, to raise the number of employees.

mark_l_watson 2026-02-19 16:07 UTC link
I had the privilege of getting a working gig in Singapore for a small AI startup: such a well run country! There is a sense of community for helping by employing people who need jobs, the police were friendly and I felt very safe there (I like to take long walks either early in the morning or late at night and I felt very secure.)

Amazing what the people and government have achieved since the end of WW2. 100% respect for them.

A side comment: I enjoy listening to English language news from many countries around the world to get different viewpoints. News media from Singapore is very interesting, indeed!

bluGill 2026-02-19 16:07 UTC link
You know who they didn't interview: those who regret saving so much. Many of those people are dead and so the regret is something we can only apply on assumption that they would. I've known a few people who unexpectedly died before they hit retirement age. I've know a few people who retired and died suddenly. The vast majority of people in a "first world" country have an expected lifespan of about 80 - but there is a statistical curve and people start dieing in significant numbers at 65, while you are not an outlier until you make it to near 100 (though some exist).

You need to have some emergency savings. You should save for retirement somehow. If you can structure the above as insurance - and you can trust the insurance - (I know a few cases where the insurance type system went bankrupt and those with a "policy got nothing") that is best.

Once the above is taken care of though, you can't take it with you (at least in most religions) so spend it. Save enough, but not too much.

readthenotes1 2026-02-19 16:14 UTC link
"In Singapore, people who report never putting off difficult things are more likely to express saving regret than those who sometimes do."

That seems like what they should have been looking at re procrastination--conscientiousness.

I am not at all surprised that people who Take Care of Business lament not doing a better job (saving) and people who YOLO don't as much.

Noumenon72 2026-02-19 16:15 UTC link
"Saving regret" ought to also refer to when you have saved too much. The shocks in that case would be things like "inflation ate away all my savings before I got to use them" or "the government confiscated my savings via wealth taxes" or just generally "the government made me spend 37% of my income on saving when I wanted to use it to raise kids."
Sytten 2026-02-19 16:52 UTC link
Forced savings like done in Quebec, Canada is likely the best model for most people even though I dont like it as an individual that knows how to manage its portfolio. It also has the benefit of creating a sovereign wealth fund that can invest locally and be an economic driver but independent from the government.
janalsncm 2026-02-19 17:38 UTC link
Numeracy questions are on page 20 here https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/working_papers/WR...

People who score well on probability numeracy are likely better educated and better paid and have more in automatic savings plans. So if someone is maxing out their 401k they don’t feel they need to save more.

The article shows that in the US there is a 25 point gap between high and low income on savings regret, and a 14 point gap between high and low numeracy scores.

In Singapore where savings are more automatic numeracy is a more powerful predictor.

solarisos 2026-02-19 23:08 UTC link
The 'saving' vs. 'investing' debate here has a direct parallel in technical debt. Singapore’s model of high-efficiency reinvestment is like a well-refactored codebase—it allows for rapid pivots when a shock hits. America’s model feels more like a legacy system with massive technical debt; the 'savings' are there, but the friction of the existing infrastructure makes it nearly impossible to deploy them effectively during a crisis.
wraptile 2026-02-20 02:53 UTC link
Comparing any country to Singapore is frankly ridiculous. Singapore is a unique tiny tax haven where billionaires send their kids to study. To compare it to the biggest economy in the world just seems silly.
deepsun 2026-02-20 03:27 UTC link
Did US have economic shocks? Compared to, say, Eastern Europe or Sub-Saharan Africa, all people who lived through real economic shocks and hyper-inflation tend to save less, not more. Because they know the savings can evaporate one day.
choonway 2026-02-20 05:16 UTC link
if something doesn’t exist in this world, no amount of money will guarantee that you will get it.

if it exists in abundance like the air that we breathe no amount of conspiracy will be able to monopolize it.

finance only works in a very narrow band of environmental conditions. we are very well past that.

shevy-java 2026-02-20 07:41 UTC link
Singapore, despite some of its laws being rather harsh, also had very intelligent leaders. Lee Kuan Yew was one of them; he correctly analysed the US behaviour. That can be seen on youtube too. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNQXLhIcPrc

What I find interesting about Singapore is that it is a fairly small country: a bit over 6 million people. That's small compared to the USA (341 million). When you are such a small country or city-country, being prosperous requires intelligence and efficiency. And diplomatic skills too. Taiwan also showed this, though it is a bit larger than Singapore (23.4 million). It seems that this is a good success story - to have competent and intelligent workers and people. Education is one key factor of success here.

bdbdbdb 2026-02-20 11:59 UTC link
Maybe I missed something in the article but why Singapore and not a country closer in culture to the US? Like why not compare to Canada or the UK, or anywhere in Europe?

Did the study have to go as far as Singapore to find somewhere where the situation was reversed or was there another factor?

Score Breakdown
+0.21
Preamble Preamble
Medium F: Framing of economic policy as comparative institutional problem-solving A: Implicit advocacy for evidence-based policy design
Editorial
+0.15
Structural
+0.10
SETL
+0.09
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Content addresses human dignity through economic security lens. Subheader implies structural economic solutions reduce vulnerability. Open access supports universal information rights. However, no explicit rights language.

+0.11
Article 1 Freedom, Equality, Brotherhood
Medium F: Economic security framed as equality of condition issue
Editorial
+0.10
Structural
+0.05
SETL
+0.07
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Comparison of US/Singapore economic resilience addresses equality indirectly; implicit that institutional design affects equal dignity. No explicit rights claim.

+0.07
Article 2 Non-Discrimination
Low P: Open access structure
Editorial
ND
Structural
+0.05
SETL
ND
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

No discrimination observable in access or content structure. Free access to all. Insufficient editorial signal.

+0.21
Article 3 Life, Liberty, Security
Medium F: Right to life security framed through economic shock absorption A: Implicit advocacy that government should buffer economic hardship
Editorial
+0.20
Structural
+0.08
SETL
+0.15
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Core argument: institutional design determines whether citizens experience economic shocks to savings/security. Suggests right to life/security requires policy design that protects from systemic vulnerability.

ND
Article 4 No Slavery

ND - No observable content addressing slavery or servitude.

ND
Article 5 No Torture

ND - No observable content addressing torture or cruel treatment.

ND
Article 6 Legal Personhood

ND - No observable content addressing personhood/legal recognition.

+0.05
Article 7 Equality Before Law
Low P: Open access regardless of status
Editorial
ND
Structural
+0.05
SETL
ND
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Structural: no discrimination in content access. Minimal editorial signal.

ND
Article 8 Right to Remedy

ND - No observable content addressing legal remedy or institutional access.

ND
Article 9 No Arbitrary Detention

ND - No observable content addressing arbitrary detention.

ND
Article 10 Fair Hearing

ND - No observable content addressing fair trial rights.

ND
Article 11 Presumption of Innocence

ND - No observable content addressing criminal liability standards.

-0.03
Article 12 Privacy
Low F: Individual economic data (savings) as privacy concern P: Substack platform analytics create modest tracking
Editorial
+0.08
Structural
-0.08
SETL
+0.11
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Editorial: article frames personal savings as sensitive. Structural: platform-level tracking standard for analytics. Net neutral after context adjustment.

+0.19
Article 13 Freedom of Movement
Medium F: Freedom of movement as economic security issue A: Implicit that economic policy affects ability to choose residence/work
Editorial
+0.12
Structural
+0.10
SETL
+0.05
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Comparison US/Singapore touches on how economic systems shape life choices. Not explicit, but framing suggests institutional constraints on freedom indirectly tied to economic policy.

ND
Article 14 Asylum

ND - No observable content addressing asylum or persecution.

+0.17
Article 15 Nationality
Medium F: National governance systems compared as alternative models A: Implicit recognition of multiple legitimate nationality frameworks
Editorial
+0.18
Structural
+0.08
SETL
+0.13
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Comparative analysis (US vs Singapore) treats both as valid governance systems. Does not advocate for supremacy of one over another. Respects national sovereignty distinction.

ND
Article 16 Marriage & Family

ND - No observable content addressing marriage/family law.

+0.15
Article 17 Property
Medium F: Property/savings framed as security foundation A: Implicit that policy should protect asset accumulation
Editorial
+0.12
Structural
+0.08
SETL
+0.07
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Core argument: economic shocks threaten property security depending on institutional design. Frames personal savings/property as right requiring policy protection.

ND
Article 18 Freedom of Thought

ND - No observable content addressing conscience or religion.

+0.27
Article 19 Freedom of Expression
High F: Comparative policy analysis as free expression P: Open access publication model A: Advocacy for evidence-based policy discourse
Editorial
+0.22
Structural
+0.15
SETL
+0.12
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Publication itself exemplifies freedom of expression and opinion. Open access removes barriers. Author presents analytical comparison without censorship. Direct positive alignment.

+0.20
Article 20 Assembly & Association
Medium A: Implicit advocacy for policy reform through public discourse F: Framing economic policy as subject of legitimate debate
Editorial
+0.18
Structural
+0.10
SETL
+0.12
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Article operates within bounds of legitimate policy advocacy. Does not suppress dissent or opposing views. Framing encourages institutional improvement rather than conflict suppression.

+0.16
Article 21 Political Participation
Medium F: Democratic participation framed through institutional design A: Implicit that good governance requires responsive institutions
Editorial
+0.14
Structural
+0.08
SETL
+0.09
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Comparative analysis suggests different democracies structure participation differently. Implicitly supports democratic input but not explicit advocacy for participation rights.

+0.23
Article 22 Social Security
High F: Social security as economic policy issue A: Argument that institutional design determines social protection
Editorial
+0.20
Structural
+0.12
SETL
+0.13
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Core thesis: US vs Singapore difference in how economic shocks are absorbed depends on social policy design. Implicitly advocates that robust social institutions protect economic security rights.

+0.26
Article 23 Work & Equal Pay
High F: Work and economic security framed together A: Implicit advocacy that labor policy should protect from shocks
Editorial
+0.25
Structural
+0.14
SETL
+0.17
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Article examines how national economic policies affect worker vulnerability to savings loss during economic downturns. Frames employment security as connected to institutional protection. Strong implicit alignment with work rights.

+0.17
Article 24 Rest & Leisure
Medium F: Rest and leisure connected to economic security A: Implicit that policy should allow reasonable life balance
Editorial
+0.16
Structural
+0.08
SETL
+0.11
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Comparison of economic systems indirectly addresses work-life balance through savings resilience. If you have economic security, you have more freedom for rest. Not explicit but implied.

+0.24
Article 25 Standard of Living
High F: Standard of living as dependent on institutional design A: Advocacy that policy should protect living standards
Editorial
+0.22
Structural
+0.12
SETL
+0.15
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Central argument: whether economic shocks threaten standard of living depends on how government absorbs or transfers shocks. Directly addresses right to adequate standard of living.

+0.13
Article 26 Education
Low P: Open access education resource
Editorial
ND
Structural
+0.10
SETL
ND
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Publication available freely; can serve educational function. No explicit educational advocacy observable.

+0.15
Article 27 Cultural Participation
Medium F: Economic contribution framed as policy question A: Implicit that institutions should enable participation in economic life
Editorial
+0.14
Structural
+0.09
SETL
+0.08
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Analysis assumes people want to save and participate in economic security. Framing suggests institutions should enable this participation.

+0.19
Article 28 Social & International Order
Medium F: Social order framed through institutional effectiveness A: Implicit advocacy for institutions that protect economic rights
Editorial
+0.18
Structural
+0.10
SETL
+0.12
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Argument depends on international social order principles - that different institutional designs serve different protective functions. Framing suggests fair institutional order benefits all.

+0.12
Article 29 Duties to Community
Low F: Individual-community balance in economic policy
Editorial
+0.12
Structural
+0.08
SETL
+0.07
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Comparison of two different social models (US individualism vs Singapore collective approach) treats both as legitimate. No supremacy claimed for either. Balanced frame.

+0.08
Article 30 No Destruction of Rights
Low F: UDHR rights presented as non-subordinate to economic policy
Editorial
+0.10
Structural
+0.05
SETL
+0.07
Combined
ND
Context Modifier
ND

Content does not interpret economic policy as override for human rights. Treats policy design as mechanism to serve human dignity. Does not explicitly invoke UDHR.

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build fc56cf0+0q5s · 2026-02-25 01:32 UTC